🔥 Macro theme: AI-spending doubts and Middle East tensions are driving a global risk-off move. Chip stocks are tumbling and Brent is near $114 on Iran strike reports and attacks on Saudi oil sites. Investors are moving into bonds.
🇺🇸 Wall Street (Thursday close):
📉 S&P 500: 7,663 (–1.21%)
💻 Nasdaq: 26,009 (–2.60%), its worst day since June
🔌 Philadelphia semiconductors: –6.7%
🏭 Dow: 52,868 (+0.02%)
😬 VIX: 19.0 (+14%)
🏦 US 10-year yield: ~4.97%, after its biggest drop in over two years
🇪🇺 Europe (Thursday close):
🇩🇪 DAX: 25,372 (–1.07%)
🇫🇷 CAC 40: 7,811 (–1.39%)
🇬🇧 FTSE 100: 10,725 (–0.26%) 📉
🌏 Asian markets (live):
🇯🇵 Nikkei 225: 62,442 (–0.74%), after dipping to near-3-month lows
🇰🇷 Kospi: 5,482 (–0.93%), chip names under pressure 💥
🇨🇳 Shanghai Composite: 3,646 (–0.33%)
🇭🇰 Hang Seng: 23,090 (+0.68%), rebounding from 3-month lows
🇦🇺 ASX 200: 8,795 (+0.02%)
💱 Markets (live):
🥇 Gold: $4,029 (–0.77%), after briefly dipping below $4,000
🥈 Silver: $54.13 (–1.61%)
🛢️ Brent: $114.00 (+0.73%), highest in over five months
🛢️ WTI: $100.38 (+0.91%)
💶 EUR/USD: 1.1210
💴 USD/JPY: 156.90
₿ Bitcoin: $81,720 (–1.39%)
Ξ Ethereum: $2,400 (–1.59%)
📅 Today (GMT+3):
🇬🇧 09:00 – UK retail sales (forecast –0.1% m/m)
🇩🇪🇪🇺🇬🇧 10:30–11:30 – Flash PMIs: Germany, Eurozone, UK
🇷🇺 13:30 – Bank of Russia rate decision (forecast 14.0%)
🇺🇸 16:45 – US flash PMIs (composite forecast 57.6)
🇺🇸 17:00 – Michigan consumer sentiment (forecast 46.3)
⚡ Watch the AI trade and oil headlines – they are setting the tone for everything else.
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