September 18, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 20 - 24, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 20 - 24, 2021EUR/USD: Awaiting US Fed Decision

The dollar continues to strengthen, and the EUR/USD pair moves south. Starting on Monday September 13 at 1.1810, it ends the five-day run at 1.1730. The movement is certainly not very strong, only 80 points. But it must be taken into account that it was 1.1908 two weeks ago, on September 03.

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September 11, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 13 - 17, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 13 - 17, 2021EUR/USD: Eurozone QE Recalibration

The ECB meeting on Thursday 09 September went off as expected with no surprises. The interest rate remained unchanged at 0%. The European regulator has proposed a “dovish” reduction in the monetary stimulus program (QE). More precisely, according to Christine Lagarde, the bank's governor, it is not even about “tapering” but “recalibrating” the program. And the decline in asset purchases in Q4 is just a reversal of the decision made in March to increase them. In doing so, the ECB remains flexible, and may change the pace of purchases early next year if necessary.

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September 4, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 06 - 10, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 06 - 10, 2021EUR/USD: Falling Dollar and Rising Risk Appetite

The majority is not always right. Thus, only 30% of the experts voted for EUR/USD to grow to 1.1900 last week. But they were the ones who proved right. After the release of data from the US labour market on Friday 03 September, the pair soared to a height of 1.1908, and finished five days at 1.1880. The weakening of the US currency continues after Fed chief Jerome Powell's dovish statements in Jackson Hole and amid uncertainty with the timing of the beginning to wind down the fiscal stimulation program (QE).

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August 29, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for August 30 - September 03, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for August 30 - September 03, 2021EUR/USD: Three Hawks and a Dove in Jackson Hole

The return of the EUR/USD pair to 1.1700-1.1900 was predicted by 35% of experts supported by 25% of oscillators that showed it was oversold. After renewing the annual low of 1.1665 on August 20, the pair did go into a correction, reaching 1.1775 on Thursday.

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August 21, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for August 23 - 27, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for August 23 - 27, 2021EUR/USD: Fed Needs Strong Dollar, ECB Needs Weak Euro

A previous review named the publication of the US Fed's FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday 18 August as the most important event of the past week.  This document was supposed to clarify the situation regarding the timing of the curtailment of the monetary stimulus (QE) program. Of course, 100% clarity never came out. Some Fed executives still believe that it is necessary to start winding down stimulus at the earliest in spring 2022. However, there is also the opposite view that a parting with QE should happen before the end of this year. And it was this view that led to another decline in investor risk appetites and a further strengthening of the dollar.

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August 15, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for August 16 - 20, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for August 16 - 20, 2021EUR / USD: Focus on Inflation

The forecast given last week has come true 100%. Recall that 70% of experts suggested that EUR/USD will test the late March low at 1.1700 once again. And it did drop to the level of 1.1705 as early as Wednesday. However, the drivers for further strengthening the US currency were not enough, and the pair was moving in reverse, north, for the second half of the week.

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August 7, 2021

Forex Cryptocurrencies Forecast for August 09 - 13, 2021

Forex Cryptocurrencies Forecast for August 09 - 13, 2021EUR / USD: it's All About the Labor Market

The EUR/USD pair drew another wave of sine waves on the chart: it fell by the same amount in the first week of August as it rose in the last week of July.

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July 17, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for July 19 - 23, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for July 19 - 23, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. Macroeconomic data continued to arrive last week, indicating a recovery in the US economy and labor market. Inflation figures released on Tuesday July 13 were well above forecasts. Τhe consumer price index increased by 0.9% ιn June, and by 5.4% and on an annualized basis, which is the highest growth rate since 2008. The core index, which excludes energy and food prices, has posted record growth since 1991, at 4.5% year on year.

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July 10, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for July 12 - 16, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for July 12 - 16, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. As predicted by the majority (65%) of experts, the dollar continued to weaken at the beginning of the week, and the EUR/USD pair went up. Disappointing data from the US labour market, released on July 02, affected the dollar. According to forecasts, the unemployment rate was supposed to fall from 5.8% to 5.7%, however, contrary to expectations, it rose to 5.9%.

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July 3, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for July 05 - 09, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for July 05 - 09, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. Making a forecast for the previous week, the majority of analysts (60%), supported by 85% of oscillators and trend indicators, voted for the strengthening of the dollar and the decline of the EUR/USD pair to the June 18 low of 1.1845. The forecast turned out to be absolutely correct, and the pair reached the set goal as early as Wednesday, June 30. But the dollar did not stop there and its DXY index renewed a three-month high on Friday, July 02, peaking at 92.699.

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June 27, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for June 28 - July 02, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for June 28 - July 02, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The data on the labor market and the US economy released last week did not have much positive to please. Q1 GDP growth (6.4%) coincided with forecast data, which is no better but also no worse than market expectations. And then there were some disappointments. Initial jobless claims were 411K with a forecast of 380K. The increase in durable goods orders for May was lower than expected at 2.3% instead of 2.7%. And capital goods orders fell into the negative zone, minus 0.1%. And all this is against the back of Markit's business growth in Germany (60.4 in June versus 56.2 in May) and in the Eurozone as a whole (59.2 vs. 57.1).

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June 19, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 21 - 25, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 21 - 25, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The US Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday June 16 was the key event of the week. No particularly significant decisions were made there: the interest rate remained unchanged at 0.25%. The Federal Reserve will also continue to print money and buy back assets in the previous volume of $120 billion. But, as expected, following the meeting, the regulator's roadmap was unveiled, as a result of which the dollar bulls got what they had been waiting for.

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June 12, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for June 14 - 18, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for June 14 - 18, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The key day last week was Thursday, June 10. There were two important events on the day: the European Central Bank meeting and the release of US consumer market data. Now let's talk about everything in order.

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June 5, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for June 07 - 11, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for June 07 - 11, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. When giving their forecast for the previous week, 50% of analysts expected the dollar to strengthen and the EUR/USD pair to fall to the 1.2000 area, 30% voted for the continuation of the sideways trend in the channel, 1.2125-1.2265, and another 20% supported the breakdown of the upper boundary of this channel.

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May 29, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 31 - June 04, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 31 - June 04, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. If you look at the chart of this pair on D1, it is safe to talk about the uptrend in the last eight weeks. But if you switch to lower timeframes, H4 or H1, it becomes clear that it has been in the "sideways" for the last two weeks, being squeezed in the range1.2125-1.2265. The last chord of the five-day period sounded in the area of the Pivot Point of this channel as well, at the level of 1.2194, without giving any guidance for the future.

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May 22, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 24 - 28, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 24 - 28, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. "Some Committee members would consider it appropriate to start discussing the topic of curtailing monetary stimulus if the US economy is moving quickly towards the targets set by the Fed," the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which was published on Wednesday, May 19, say. The wording is more than vague. But it was against this background that the bears tried to strengthen the dollar and drop the EUR/USD pair down. As a result, having bounced off the high of the last eight weeks at 1.2245, it dropped by 85 points - to support1.2160.

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May 16, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 17 - 21, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 17 - 21, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. As predicted by most experts (60%), the first half of the week benefited the dollar, strengthening it and dropping the EUR/USD pair to support 1.2050. The US inflation report, released on Wednesday May 12, pointed to an impressive rise in April and hit the stock market hard. The consumer price index climbed 0.8%, the strongest monthly gain since 2009. In annual terms, inflation rose by 4.2% versus 2.6% between March 2020 and March 2021 and showed the strongest acceleration since 2008.

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May 9, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 10 - 14, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 10 - 14, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. There has been a lot of talk for a long time about how quickly and how well the US economy is recovering. But the head of the Fed, Jerome Powell, warned a week ago that everything is still quite fragile, and the acceleration of inflation is a temporary factor. Apparently, he already knew it then, and now everyone else knows it too: not everything is as rosy as it seemed.

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May 1, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 03 - 07, 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for May 03 - 07, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The last week of April was marked by three events­: the Fed meeting, as well as the publication of data on the US and Eurozone GDP.

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April 24, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for April 26 - 30, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for April 26 - 30, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The US economy is showing impressive growth. Europe, on the other hand, is in a widespread lockdown and, apparently, is experiencing a second recession. The share of those who received at least one COVID-19 vaccine in the EU is 25.1%, while in the United States there are 2.5 times more of them, 63.2%. Can the euro grow in such a situation? Only 25% of experts answered positively to this question last week, and they turned out to be right: the pairEUR / USD reached the level of 1.2080 on Tuesday, April 20.

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April 17, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for April 19 - 23, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for April 19 - 23, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The past week was marked by two important economic events: impressively strong macro-statistics from the USA and a collapse in the yield of 10-year US government bonds.

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April 10, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for April 12 - 16, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for April 12 - 16, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The U.S. economy continues to recover vigorously. The S&P500 index renews another high, the value of American Treasuries is growing and, accordingly, their yield is falling. And the dollar is falling along with it.

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April 3, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for April 05 - 09, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for April 05 - 09, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The U.S. economy continues to recover vigorously. This is evidenced by the impressive data from the labor market. Thus, the number of new jobs created outside the agricultural sector (NFP) has almost doubled compared to the previous period (growth from 468K to 916K) and, moreover, has exceeded the forecast (647K) by almost a third. The ISM Manufacturing PMI has risen from 60.8 to 64.7. Also, according to the ADP report, the employment rate in the private sector has increased from 176K to 517K. All this suggests that fiscal stimulation of the economy and the injection of money into it is working. But is it good for the dollar?

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March 28, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrency Forecast for March 29-April 02, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrency Forecast for March 29-April 02, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The dollar has periodically changed its status since the COVID-19 pandemic started, becoming either a safe haven currency or a risky asset for investors. For example, the US currency declined amid rising stock markets in November-December 2020. And since January, the dollar began to rise along with the S&P500. Now this index is in the area of its all-time high­: 3.795. The DXY dollar index is also quoted in the area of annual highs: 92.72.

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March 20, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 22 - 26, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 22 - 26, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. It has become clear following the meeting of the Open Market Committee (FOMC) that the US Federal Reserve does not intend to raise interest rates until at least 2023. The Fed is not going to change other parameters of the quantitative easing (QE) program either, as long as inflation in the United States is growing, the manufacturing sector is recovering, and is pulling up the service sector. The bill signed by US President Joe Biden on a new $1.9 trillion package, according to the Fed, is quite a sufficient measure to stimulate the economy at this stage.

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March 13, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 15-19, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 15-19, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. Recall that   the head of the Fed Jerome Powell literally brought down the American stock markets with his speech on February 4. Powell stayed indifferent to the surge in US Treasury yields, which closed at an annual high. At the same time, he hinted at the possibility of premature tightening of monetary policy.

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March 6, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 08 - 12, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 08 - 12, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. There is a saying, “a new broom sweeps clean”. If the previous US President Donald Trump were in the shoes of Joe Biden now, he would probably call the head of the Fed Jerome Powell a "traitor" for the fact that his speech on Thursday February 04 literally brought down the stock markets of America. Powell stayed indifferent to the surge in US Treasury yields, which closed at an annual high. At the same time, he hinted at the possibility of premature tightening of monetary policy.

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February 27, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 01-05, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 01-05, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. As we expected, the speech by the head of the Fed turned out to be quite interesting. Jerome Powell presented to Congress a semi-annual report on monetary policy, from which it followed that not everything is as good as we would like as far as the recovery of the US economy is concerned. The surge in economic activity in the summer of 2020 was followed by the slowsown of the growth rate. The decline in unemployment has slowed down, and household expenditures are not growing either.

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February 20, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 22 - 26, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 22 - 26, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. The sharp rise in bond yields in the US and Europe has hit not only the stock market, but also the “carry trade”, providing support to funding currencies, primarily the euro and the US dollar. Recall that the funding currency is usually a currency with a low interest rate. Implementing the carry trade strategy, traders borrow it and then deposit it in another currency, such as developing countries, with a higher rate. And now the fall in risk sentiment has led to an exit from such deals, and the strengthening of both EUR and USD. Apparently, this can explain the consolidation of this pair. And if the preponderance was on the side of the dollar in the first half of the week, then, investors began to buy up the cheaper euro starting from Wednesday, February 17. As a result, having started the week at the level of 1.2120, the EUR/USD pair ended it almost there, at the level of 1.2115;

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February 13, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 15 - 19, 2021

Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 15 - 19, 2021First, a review of last week’s events:

EUR/USD. It often happens that monthly forecasts come true faster than weekly ones. That was what happened this time as well. Recall that only 30% of experts expected the EUR/USD pair to grow in the weekly perspective. In the transition to the monthly forecast, those were in majority already, 60%.

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